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2024-12-14 07:15:35

Statement of works: The contents are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.As for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.The national conference on development and reform was held in Beijing. The conference emphasized that we should increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies, implement more active macro policies, enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation, and do a good job in economic propaganda and expected guidance. Expand domestic demand in all directions. We will do a good job in the "two new" work, implement special actions to boost consumption, and promote consumption expansion, quality improvement and efficiency improvement. Promote the further and comprehensive deepening of the implementation of reform measures. Focus on important areas and key links to carry out key reforms. Focus on the construction of a unified national market and revise and introduce a new version of the negative list of market access. Intensify efforts to promote the development of the private economy and promote the promulgation of the Private Economy Promotion Law as soon as possible. Vigorously support the high-quality development of manufacturing industry, accelerate the development of emerging industries and the cultivation of future industries, and do a good job in the high-quality development of digital economy.


For next week's trend as a whole, we still have to be prepared for it. If it can stabilize above 3392 points on Monday, the short-term trend will not weaken completely, and the market may once again challenge the pressure level in the short term. If it breaks above 3425 points, the upside will be opened again. If once the support level near 3392 points falls, the short-term trend will weaken completely, so it is very possible for everyone to reduce their positions substantially in time and prepare for further weakening, and it is very possible to test the support of the lower rail again. The previous callback was to stop falling and stabilize near the lower rail, and this time this possibility is not ruled out, so it is necessary to make good or bad plans in advance, otherwise you will be at a loss.In addition, the science and technology sector has obviously started to weaken recently and entered a short-term adjustment trend, with more backward consumption. In my opinion, this is all normal. The previous performance is better than the big consumption. We need to take a break and make up for the consumption sector, so that the market is benign. The short-term adjustment of the science and technology sector does not mean the end of the market, but it is an opportunity to re-intervene, but we have to wait for short-term stabilization.At present, the medium-and long-term trend is still intact. This week, the weekly level only dropped slightly, and the short-term trend of the weekly level is all intact. The index is above the short-term trend line of the weekly level, and there is no problem with the medium-term trend. At the same time, the index is also above the monthly offensive line, and there is no problem with the current long-term trend. Therefore, the current adjustment is temporarily regarded as a daily adjustment, and the market still has the basis to continue to strengthen.


This week, the Shanghai Stock Exchange took written warning and other regulatory measures against 202 abnormal securities trading behaviors, such as lifting and suppressing, false declaration, etc., focused on monitoring the delisting risk warning stocks such as *ST Zhuo Lang, conducted special inspections on 14 major events of listed companies, and reported one clue of suspected illegal cases to the CSRC.As for whether it will fall below the support of the lower rail, there is this possibility, but at present, the index is still a long way from the support below. Combined with the high-level statement, I think this possibility is relatively small at present, so there is no need to worry in advance. Let's take it one step at a time.The "Opinions" pointed out: enhance the awareness of young people to prepare for the old, and cultivate the concept of social public pension finance; Study and create special financial bonds for the aged and theme financial bonds for the aged, and the funds raised are mainly used in related fields for the aged; Expand the credit supply for the development of silver-haired economic business entities and industrial clusters; Support qualified listed silver-haired economic enterprises to refinance, merge and reorganize by issuing shares; Strengthen the design and investment management of pension financial products, and support long-term high-quality assets with matching pension financial product investment and pension characteristics; Guide financial institutions to increase support and accelerate the development of pension financial services.

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